Caldas CF vs Arcade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAL
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAL
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
BEL
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ADR
2 - 1
CAL
39%
23%
37%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UMI
2 - 1
CAL
70%
16%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 1
UMI
21%
22%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 2
PUE
68%
18%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 3
ARC
43%
24%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 0
PON
77%
15%
9%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
ARC
52%
23%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |