Serie A . Jor. 24

Padova vs Fiorentina analysis

Padova Fiorentina
74 ELO 83
-3.1% Tilt -19.1%
1621º General ELO ranking 48º
47º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.3%
Padova
28.3%
Draw
39.4%
Fiorentina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
Padova
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.4%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Padova
-20%
-3%
Fiorentina

ELO progression

Padova
Fiorentina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Padova
Padova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 1995
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Padova
PAD
70%
20%
9%
75 90 15 0
05 Mar. 1995
PAD
Padova
2 - 0
Napoli
NAP
30%
27%
43%
74 85 11 +1
26 Feb. 1995
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 1
Padova
PAD
57%
25%
18%
74 77 3 0
19 Feb. 1995
PAD
Padova
4 - 2
Torino
TOR
26%
29%
46%
72 85 13 +2
12 Feb. 1995
PAR
Parma
1 - 0
Padova
PAD
72%
19%
9%
73 89 16 -1

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 1995
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 1
Reggiana
REG
71%
19%
10%
83 77 6 0
05 Mar. 1995
LAZ
Lazio
8 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
71%
17%
11%
84 88 4 -1
26 Feb. 1995
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 2
Inter
INT
46%
25%
29%
84 87 3 0
19 Feb. 1995
USC
Cremonese
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
38%
28%
34%
84 78 6 0
12 Feb. 1995
FIO
Fiorentina
3 - 1
Genoa
GEN
60%
22%
18%
83 82 1 +1
X