Padova vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 1
PAD
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 0
ARZ
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LEG
0 - 2
PAD
11%
22%
67%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
6 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
67%
22%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
CES
3 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 2
CES
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
CES
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CES
1 - 3
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 2
CES
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |