Desenzano Calvina vs Vis Nova Giussano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
DES
0 - 1
SON
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
5 - 0
DES
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VCB
0 - 1
DES
46%
22%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
SCA
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ADR
2 - 0
DES
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 2
CAR
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SER
3 - 0
NOV
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 2
CAL
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
USB
0 - 0
NOV
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 5
CRE
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |