Desenzano Calvina vs Villa Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
DES
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
DES
3 - 3
SER
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
DES
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
USB
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 3
DES
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
NIB
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
VIL
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
USB
3 - 1
VIL
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAL
43%
23%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |