Desenzano Calvina vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 3
DES
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DES
4 - 1
TRI
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
USP
1 - 1
DES
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DES
2 - 1
NOV
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
DES
0 - 1
SON
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 0
USB
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
USB
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 2
USB
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
USB
2 - 2
TRI
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
USP
1 - 1
USB
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |