Desenzano Calvina vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 3
DES
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
ADR
48%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
DES
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NIB
2 - 3
DES
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DES
0 - 1
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
VCB
58%
20%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
1 - 1
VIL
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
0 - 1
USB
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
VCB
36%
23%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 2
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |