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Serie D. Group B, Matchday 13

Desenzano Calvina Seregno
22 ELO 19
-13% Tilt 9%
5672º General ELO ranking 6151º
178º Country ELO ranking 217º
ELO win probability
39.7%
Desenzano Calvina
28.1%
Draw
32.2%
Seregno

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
Desenzano Calvina
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.2%
Win probability
Seregno
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Basic stats

3
3
GF
3
3
GC
22
19
ELO
1.2
1.1
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Desenzano Calvina
Their league position
Seregno
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
16º
69
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected probabilities
Desenzano Calvina
Seregno