Desenzano Calvina vs Sona Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
5 - 0
DES
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VCB
0 - 1
DES
46%
22%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
SCA
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ADR
2 - 0
DES
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DES
0 - 0
CAS
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sona Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SON
4 - 0
VIL
26%
22%
51%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SON
1 - 2
CAL
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
SON
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SON
1 - 2
CAR
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
USB
1 - 1
SON
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |