Calamonte vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 1
CAL
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 1
CAL
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MIA
0 - 4
CAL
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLI
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CDD
4 - 1
CAL
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 1
TRU
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 2
EMD
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 0
ARR
41%
27%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 1
JER
40%
26%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARR
69%
19%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |