Calafell vs Llorenç analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+256%
+420%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calafell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
TAR
0 - 2
CAL
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CAL
4 - 1
SAN
39%
21%
40%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +3 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LLO
2 - 0
CAL
27%
21%
53%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
4 - 3
RIE
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BAS
6 - 5
CAL
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Llorenç
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
LLO
1 - 3
MON
7%
12%
82%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
EPP
4 - 0
LLO
88%
9%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LLO
2 - 0
CAL
27%
21%
53%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +3 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAL
3 - 0
LLO
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LLO
2 - 3
ALC
57%
20%
24%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -3 |