Calaceite vs Mazaleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calaceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
5 - 0
CAL
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
TER
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CFL
3 - 5
CAL
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
NLT
73%
16%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 4
CAL
16%
19%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mazaleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAZ
1 - 1
TOR
50%
21%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAZ
1 - 2
PRO
25%
21%
55%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 0
MAZ
39%
22%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAZ
1 - 3
CAS
26%
23%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |