Los Caimanes vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
LOS
68%
19%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
4 - 1
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 0
LOS
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
AYA
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
LOS
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPC
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
HUA
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
LEO
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |