CAI vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAI
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
BHU
0 - 1
CAI
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
CAI
0 - 1
IRV
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
TAL
1 - 1
CAI
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CAI
4 - 2
ALD
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
RAF
2 - 0
CHA
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SMA
1 - 1
RAF
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
RAF
1 - 1
QUI
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2008 |
BHU
2 - 0
RAF
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
RAF
4 - 0
IRV
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |