Cagliari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
31.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAG
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
CAG
2 - 2
BOL
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAG
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
CAG
0 - 0
AVE
57%
26%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
55%
27%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
ROM
0 - 1
CES
78%
16%
6%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
AVE
1 - 0
ROM
33%
29%
38%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
ROM
1 - 1
UDI
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
ASC
0 - 1
ROM
31%
30%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
41%
29%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |