Cagliari vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAG
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAG
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAG
0 - 2
LAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GEN
5 - 3
CAG
58%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 0
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
MUD
4 - 0
ACM
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | -1 |