Cagliari vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAG
53%
26%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 0
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 2
ACM
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAG
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 4
JUV
17%
24%
59%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 1
GEN
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 3
LIV
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LIV
3 - 1
SAS
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 0
LIV
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
LIV
0 - 3
PAR
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |