Cagliari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAG
48%
28%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
CAG
1 - 0
NAP
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
VER
1 - 1
CAG
29%
29%
42%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
CAG
1 - 0
SAM
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
CAG
0 - 1
ACM
35%
29%
36%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
BOL
3 - 2
ACM
30%
30%
40%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BOL
48%
28%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOL
35%
33%
32%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
BOL
2 - 0
NAP
55%
25%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
VER
0 - 0
BOL
40%
30%
30%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |