Champions League . Last 16
Global 2-4
Cagliari vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
LAZ
2 - 4
CAG
32%
29%
39%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
CAG
2 - 1
SAM
71%
20%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
CAG
3 - 0
ASS
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
ATM
3 - 1
ELC
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
SAB
0 - 2
ATM
33%
29%
39%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
ATM
3 - 1
CEL
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
AUS
1 - 2
ATM
49%
25%
25%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATM
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |