Cafetaleros vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
UAT
3 - 1
CAF
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 1
CAF
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAF
2 - 0
NEC
37%
30%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CAF
3 - 2
ATS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 2
MOR
22%
25%
54%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 2
LOB
46%
25%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
DOR
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
LEO
27%
23%
50%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |