Cafetaleros vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 1
CAF
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
UAP
0 - 0
CAF
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAF
1 - 0
LOB
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 1
CAF
24%
27%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAF
2 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
QRO
2 - 0
CIM
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CIM
0 - 1
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
ZAC
1 - 0
CIM
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
CIM
2 - 1
ZAC
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CIM
0 - 0
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |