Caernarfon Town FC vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
RTW
0 - 3
CAE
8%
14%
78%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 5
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAE
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HAV
3 - 0
GOY
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 2
HAV
11%
15%
75%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 0
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
NEW
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 2
HAV
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |