Caernarfon Town FC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CAE
3 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
CAE
4 - 0
CEF
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAL
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABE
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |