Caernarfon Town FC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAE
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAE
41%
23%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 3
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAE
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAE
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
7 - 1
PON
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 3
BAR
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FLI
3 - 2
BAR
38%
27%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 3
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |