Welsh Premier League Temporada Regular. Jor. 12

Caernarfon Town FC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis

Caernarfon Town FC Aberystwyth Town
60 ELO 54
21% Tilt 10.2%
1996º General ELO ranking 3344º
13º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
62.3%
Caernarfon Town FC
21%
Draw
16.7%
Aberystwyth Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
Caernarfon Town FC
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.7%
Win probability
Aberystwyth Town
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caernarfon Town FC
-10%
-5%
Aberystwyth Town

Points and table prediction

Caernarfon Town FC
Their league position
Aberystwyth Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
22
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
60
60
100%
Connah's Quay
44
44
100%
Penybont
41
41
0%
Cardiff MU
41
41
0%
Bala Town
40
40
100%
Newtown
33
33
100%
Haverfordwest County AFC
27
27
100%
Caernarfon Town FC
25
25
100%
Flint Town United
24
24
100%
Aberystwyth Town
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Pontypridd United
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Airbus UK
12º
0
1
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Caernarfon Town FC
Aberystwyth Town
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Caernarfon Town FC
Aberystwyth Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caernarfon Town FC
Caernarfon Town FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2022
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
2 - 0
Flint Town United
FLI
51%
24%
25%
59 58 1 0
07 Oct. 2022
FMC
Flint Mountain
0 - 4
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
3%
9%
88%
59 12 47 0
01 Oct. 2022
PON
Pontypridd United
3 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
21%
23%
56%
60 46 14 -1
27 Sep. 2022
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
0 - 2
Connah's Quay
CON
41%
26%
33%
61 67 6 -1
24 Sep. 2022
CLY
Clyde
1 - 0
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
15%
19%
67%
61 46 15 0

Matches

Aberystwyth Town
Aberystwyth Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2022
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
2 - 1
Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
41%
25%
34%
54 56 2 0
08 Oct. 2022
PAA
Pencoed Athletic
0 - 0
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
5%
11%
85%
54 15 39 0
01 Oct. 2022
CAR
Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
61%
22%
16%
54 64 10 0
27 Sep. 2022
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
2 - 1
Airbus UK
AIR
62%
20%
18%
54 48 6 0
23 Sep. 2022
PEN
Penybont
3 - 1
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
59%
22%
19%
54 60 6 0
X