Caerau Ely vs Undy Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
57.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
CWU
51%
20%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PON
4 - 4
CAE
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 2
AAF
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAE
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
STM
2 - 1
CAE
89%
8%
4%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Undy Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
TAF
2 - 1
UND
35%
21%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
UND
0 - 3
LLA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CWU
2 - 1
UND
15%
17%
68%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UND
0 - 2
SUF
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
AAF
2 - 1
UND
41%
21%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |