Caerau Ely vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
78.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+196%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
GOY
4 - 0
CAE
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PON
3 - 1
CAE
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 2
LLA
16%
18%
67%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CWU
4 - 2
CAE
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 4
SUF
11%
15%
73%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
AAF
0 - 1
HAV
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
HAV
1 - 4
BRI
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HAV
2 - 1
LLA
77%
15%
9%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAM
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HAV
5 - 3
PEN
84%
10%
5%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | 0 |