Caen vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 2
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
LMU
1 - 2
CAE
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAE
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAE
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2002 |
CAN
1 - 2
VAL
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
CAL
0 - 1
VAL
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
VAL
2 - 1
NOI
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
LRO
0 - 0
VAL
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
VAL
2 - 1
RAC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |