Caen vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
CAE
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
LHA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 0
CAE
42%
26%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
PFC
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PAU
3 - 1
DUN
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAU
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
PAU
1 - 0
CHA
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 0
LHA
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NIO
2 - 1
PAU
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |