Caen vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
SOC
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NIO
0 - 1
CAE
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAE
4 - 0
ROD
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 1
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 1
CAE
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 1
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 4
TFC
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 1
ASN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ASN
2 - 2
GUI
37%
25%
39%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |