Caen vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 1
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 2
AUX
27%
29%
45%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
AUX
1 - 1
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
MON
5 - 2
CAE
78%
15%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 0
PSG
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
34%
30%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 1
LYO
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
GIR
1 - 3
LIL
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 2
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 1
LMU
61%
24%
16%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |