Caen vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
CAE
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
LYO
3 - 0
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 3
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
5 - 1
CAE
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
MPL
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
CAE
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
REN
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAS
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
ETG
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
REI
2 - 1
BAS
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |