Caen vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
CAE
1 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
LHA
2 - 3
CAE
42%
29%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
CAE
2 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
TFC
1 - 1
CAE
45%
29%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1993 |
CAE
0 - 1
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
TFC
1 - 0
AUX
31%
30%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1993 |
AUX
4 - 2
AJA
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
AUX
2 - 0
MPL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
24%
29%
47%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
AUX
0 - 3
SOC
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |