Caen vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CLE
0 - 0
CAE
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
LMU
0 - 1
CAE
30%
24%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
VAN
71%
18%
10%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
LHA
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 2
AJA
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 0
AJA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 0
LMU
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |