Caen II vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAE
2 - 0
GRQ
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 0
CHE
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DIE
1 - 0
CAE
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 0
GON
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAM
3 - 3
CAE
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 0
VAN
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 2
GRA
24%
25%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
GUI
29%
24%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 2
VAN
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GOB
2 - 3
GUI
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |