Caen II vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAE
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
EVR
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAE
9%
14%
78%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 3
ALE
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
PAM
2 - 3
CAE
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCR
1 - 0
CHE
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 0
BAY
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 2
CHE
12%
16%
72%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
4 - 1
CHE
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -3 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 2
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |