CP Cacereño vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
BAL
3 - 0
CPC
77%
13%
10%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
CPC
3 - 0
ORI
65%
17%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
CAT
3 - 0
CPC
76%
14%
10%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
CPC
1 - 4
UDL
37%
24%
40%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
CPC
2 - 2
RCD
38%
21%
41%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 1
ATB
71%
16%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 0
ALC
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
RCD
1 - 1
RJA
64%
18%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
VAL
0 - 1
RJA
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |