CP Cacereño vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
71%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CPC
0 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CPC
2 - 0
MON
59%
23%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CCF
5 - 0
CPC
77%
15%
7%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CPC
1 - 1
SRQ
59%
23%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
2 - 2
CPC
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
IBI
0 - 1
PON
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PON
4 - 1
SPO
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 0
PON
23%
29%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 2
PON
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
PON
1 - 1
HUE
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |