CP Cacereño vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
3 - 3
CPC
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CPC
1 - 0
ECI
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 1
CPC
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
CAD
3 - 4
CPC
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CPC
1 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROD
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
LUC
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
SEV
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 3
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUC
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |