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Rio Cup. Last 16

Aggregate 1-4. Ida 1-0

Cabofriense vs Maricá analysis

Cabofriense Maricá
35 ELO 47
28% Tilt 173%
4016º General ELO ranking 2026º
227º Country ELO ranking 88º
ELO win probability
15.5%
Cabofriense
14.5%
Draw
70%
Maricá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
Cabofriense
1.55
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.5%
70%
Win probability
Maricá
3.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.4%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
4.6%
3-5
1.5%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
2.9%
3-6
0.8%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
1.6%
3-7
0.4%
4-8
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.7%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
1-11
0%
-10
<0%