CHAN Qualifying Primera Ronda. Final
Global 2-3
Cape Verde vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SLE
2 - 0
CPV
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 0
CPV
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
CPV
2 - 0
TGO
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
BFA
2 - 0
CPV
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
CPV
2 - 0
SMR
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SLE
2 - 0
CPV
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
SLE
2 - 2
GNB
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
NGA
2 - 1
SLE
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SLE
2 - 1
COG
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 1
SLE
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |