Conmebol Sudamericana . Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Vélez Sarsfield vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
VEL
33%
29%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 0
VEL
36%
28%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
ARG
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 1
VEL
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
OLI
59%
24%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 1
PPE
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 0
VEL
36%
28%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PPE
2 - 1
VAS
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 0
PPE
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
PPE
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |