Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 1-1
Vélez Sarsfield vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
EST
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 3
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 1
GOD
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 0
ARG
54%
27%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
ATP
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
RIV
56%
23%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FEN
0 - 0
PEÑ
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
PRO
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |