Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 4
FLA
18%
23%
58%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
VEL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
SAR
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 2
VEL
22%
27%
52%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
GLP
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SLP
1 - 0
NOB
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NOB
1 - 2
GOD
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 0
NOB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
NOB
2 - 0
LAN
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 1
NOB
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |