Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 0
ALD
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
PLA
3 - 2
VEL
18%
26%
57%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 0
PAT
74%
18%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
ARS
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
TAL
1 - 3
IND
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
TAL
1 - 2
IND
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |