Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
30.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
ABB
2 - 1
VEL
23%
24%
54%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 1
VEL
43%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
VEL
0 - 1
SAR
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
OLI
0 - 4
VEL
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CEN
2 - 1
VEL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
GLP
0 - 3
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GLP
1 - 1
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
TAL
2 - 0
GLP
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GLP
0 - 0
SAR
45%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CEN
2 - 1
GLP
48%
27%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |