Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 1
VEL
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 1
VEL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 2
TAL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
GOD
1 - 1
VEL
37%
26%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
HUR
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
GLP
1 - 2
PAT
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 0
GOD
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HUR
0 - 1
GLP
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GLP
1 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
GLP
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |