Vélez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
VEL
5 - 0
CIP
83%
14%
3%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 0
VEL
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 0
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 0
ALD
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
ACS
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
EST
3 - 2
ARS
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 0
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
LAN
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 3
EST
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |