Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
VEL
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 1
ATT
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DYJ
1 - 1
VEL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 3
RIV
17%
21%
63%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 2
GOD
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
HUR
3 - 2
RIV
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |