Vélez Sarsfield vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DYJ
1 - 1
VEL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 0
CEN
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 0
VEL
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 1
PLA
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
ATT
1 - 1
GOD
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
ATT
0 - 1
IND
37%
25%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
HUR
0 - 0
ATT
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 1
LAN
32%
25%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
ATT
70%
18%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |